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Course, academic year 2023/2024
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Robust statistics and econometrics – regression analysis in a bit alternative perspective - NMST604
Title: Robustní statistika a ekonometrie - regresní analýza trochu jinak
Guaranteed by: Department of Probability and Mathematical Statistics (32-KPMS)
Faculty: Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
Actual: from 2022
Semester: summer
E-Credits: 3
Hours per week, examination: summer s.:2/0, Ex [HT]
Capacity: unlimited
Min. number of students: unlimited
4EU+: no
Virtual mobility / capacity: no
State of the course: not taught
Language: Czech
Teaching methods: full-time
Teaching methods: full-time
Guarantor: prof. RNDr. Jan Ámos Víšek, CSc.
Class: Pravděp. a statistika, ekonometrie a fin. mat.
M Mgr. PMSE
M Mgr. PMSE > Volitelné
Classification: Mathematics > Math. Econ. and Econometrics, Probability and Statistics
Annotation -
Last update: T_KPMS (06.05.2014)
Non-traditional view on the regression analysis as a tool for model bulding as well as a tool of structure analysis of data, alternative methods (to OLS and ML) of estimation and for them modified classical diagnostic tools for specification of model, historical roots and philosophical consequences.
Aim of the course -
Last update: T_KPMS (06.05.2014)

To enlarge the theoretical knowledge of regression analysis over its classical framework of (statistical or econometric) explanation. Moreover, to allow the students to look over the horizon of usual mathematically exactly constructed approach of formalized modelling, i.e. to offer an insight into such aspects ofmathematical, formalized description of universe which we can meet neither in the statistical nor the econometric texts. The content of the course can be decently accommodated to the topics of study and of interest of the attendants.

Course completion requirements - Czech
Last update: RNDr. Jitka Zichová, Dr. (19.04.2018)

Složení zkoušky.

Literature - Czech
Last update: T_KPMS (06.05.2014)

Atkinson, A.C., M. Riani (2002) : Exploring Multivariate Data with the Forward Search. Springer.

Chatterjee, S., Hadi, A. S. (1988): Sensitivity Analysis in Linear Regression. New York: J. Wiley and Sons.

Dutter,R., P. Filzmoser, P. J. Rousseeuw (2003) : Development in Robust Statistics. Springer.

Hampel, F. R., E. M. Ronchetti, P. J. Rousseeuw, W. A. Stahel (1986): Robust Statistics -- The Approach Based on Influence Functions. New York 1986, J.Wiley and Son.

Huber, P.J.(1981): Robust Statistics. New York: J.Wiley and Sons.

Judge, G. G., Griffiths, W. E., Hill, R. C., Lutkepohl, H., Lee, T. C. (1985): The Theory and Practice of Econometrics. New York 1985, J.Wiley and Sons (second edition).

Rousseeuw, P. J., A. M. Leroy (1987): Robust Regression and Outlier Detection. New York 1987, J.Wiley and Sons.

Štěpán, J. (1987): Teorie pravděpodobnosti. Praha 1987 Academia.

Víšek, J. Á. : Papers according to the interest of participants , see .

Zvára, K. (1989): Regresní analýza. Praha 1989, Academia.

Teaching methods -
Last update: T_KPMS (06.05.2014)

Lecture.

Requirements to the exam - Czech
Last update: RNDr. Jitka Zichová, Dr. (08.03.2018)

Zkouška je formou jednoduchého testu - otázky jsou zaměřeny na podstatné myšlenky v pozadí celé teorie.

Syllabus -
Last update: T_KPMS (06.05.2014)

1) Robust statistics and ekonometrics as a complement to the classical methods. Inspirations for robust approach - differences with respect to the classical approach.

2) Proposals by Peter Huber versus an approach by Frank Hampel - the global versus the local approach, Prokhorov versus Kolmogorov-Smirnov metric, examples of convergence of sequences of d.f.‘s.

3) Classical and newly proposed characteristics of point estimators - significance of the individual explanatory variable (in the classical as well as in the robust version), tsts of submodels (again, classically and robustly), the gross-error and the local-shift sensitivity, the rejection and the breakdown point .

4) Specifications of these characteristics for the basic statistical and econometric tasks - the location and the scale parameter, the regression model. Role of invariance and equivariance in the (robust) point estimation.

5) The most frequent families of robust estimators - M, L, R, the minimal distance and the minimal volume estimators, etc.

6) Historical survey: from to over the regression quantiles to the minimization of median of the squared residuals and to the least trimmed squares.

7) Looking for the algorithm, its implementation and verification - patterns of processing the data, sequential estimation of contamination level by means of LTS, forward search.

8) Proving methods - Skorohod imbedding into the Wiener process, generalization of Kolmogorov-Smirnov results about the uniform convergence of empirical d.f.’s to the theoretical (“underlying”) d.f. in the regression framework.

9) Problems with the high breakdown point - the large sensitivity to the deletion/inclusion of one observation and to a shift of inliers. Solution of this problem by the least weighted squares.

10) Robustification of alternative methods (alternative to the ordinary least squares or the maximum likelihood) as the instrumental variables, orthogonal or ridge regression.

11) Robustification of the classical diagnostic tools - Durbin-Watson, White , Hausman or Chow test for robust estimation.

12) Examples of robust processing the panel data - the model with fixed and random effects, gravitational model.

13) Philosophy of the formalized modeling with short excursions into the history of processing the data.

Entry requirements -
Last update: RNDr. Jitka Zichová, Dr. (20.06.2019)

Basic knowledge from mathematical analysis, probability and statistics.

 
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