Vnímaná inflácia na Slovensku ako sprievodný jav prechodu na euro
| Thesis title in thesis language (Slovak): | Vnímaná inflácia na Slovensku ako sprievodný jav prechodu na euro |
|---|---|
| Thesis title in Czech: | Vnímaná inflace na Slovensku jako doprovodný jev přechodu na euro |
| Thesis title in English: | Perceived inflation in Slovakia during euro accession |
| Academic year of topic announcement: | 2010/2011 |
| Thesis type: | Bachelor's thesis |
| Thesis language: | slovenština |
| Department: | Institute of Economic Studies (23-IES) |
| Supervisor: | prof. Ing. Oldřich Dědek, CSc. |
| Author: | hidden - assigned by the advisor |
| Date of registration: | 26.05.2011 |
| Date of assignment: | 26.05.2011 |
| Date and time of defence: | 18.06.2012 00:00 |
| Venue of defence: | IES |
| Date of electronic submission: | 15.05.2012 |
| Date of proceeded defence: | 18.06.2012 |
| Opponents: | Ing. Aleš Maršál, Ph.D. |
| References |
| Aucremanne, L., Collin, M., Stragier, T. (2007): Assessing the Gap between Observed and Perceived Inflation in the Euro Area: Is the Credibility of the HICP at Stake?, Working Paper Research Series, National Bank of Belgium
Brachinger, H.W. (2006): Euro or „Teuro―?: The Euro- induced Perceived Inflation in Germany, Working Paper No 5, University of Fribourg Switzerland ECB (2003b): Recent Developments in Euro Area Inflation Perceptions, Monthly Bulletin, October, str. 24-25 ECB (2007a): Measured Inflation and Inflation Perceptions in the Euro Area, In: Monthly Bulletin, May 2007, str.63-72 ECB (2007b): Recent Developments in Euro Area Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in the Euro Area, Monthly Bulletin, November 2007, str. 38-41 Gamble, A. (2005): Perception of Value of Money in Unfamiliar Currencies, Doctoral Dissertation in Psychology, Department of Psychology, Goteborg University, ISBN: 91-628-6651-6 Internetové zdroje: http://www.ecb.europa.eu http://www.nbs.sk http://portal.statistics.sk http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu |
| Preliminary scope of work |
| Pri prechode na euro začali ľudia pociťovať vyšší nárast cenovej hladiny aký v skutočnosti bol. Jedná sa o problém vnímanej inflácie, ktorá sa vo veľkej miere líši od nameranej. Takéto vnímanie inflácie sa dá sledovať napríklad v prípade Nemecka, Talianska, Slovinska, Malty, Slovenska. Ide skôr o psychologický efekt, pretože prechod na euro vo fyzickej podobe je len výmena mincí a bankoviek pevne daným fixným kurzom a teda reálna hodnota peňazí neklesá. Z uvedeného vyplýva, že veľmi dôležitým sa javí vyriešenie problému, ako nadstaviť hospodársku politiku štátu, ktorý prechádza na euro, aby bola vnímaná inflácia v čo najväčšej miere potlačená.
Práve vzťah inflácie a vnímanej inflácie a ich charakteristiky by som rád načrtol v teoretickej časti, pretože by to mohlo priblížiť riešenie tohto problému. Na meranie týchto nástrojov sa používajú prevažne dve metodológie a to makroekonomická, hlavne pomocou HICP ale aj psychologická, a to z hľadiska behaviorálnej ekonómie. V empirickej časti by som sa zameral hlavne na prípadovú štúdiu Slovenskej republiky a chcel by som zistiť jej spôsob potláčania problému vnímanej inflácie pri prechode na spoločnú európsku menu z oboch vyššie spomínaných hľadísk. Analýza tohto prípadu by mohla pomôcť načrtnúť riešenie pre Českú republiku, pretože jej hospodársky a kultúrny základ sa od Slovenska veľmi nelíši vďaka spoločnej histórii. |
| Preliminary scope of work in English |
| At the transition to the euro, people began to feel a greater increase of price level as in fact was. This is a problem of perceived inflation, which is largely different from measured inflation. Such perceptions of inflation can be observed for example in the case of Germany, Italy, Slovenia, Malta, Slovakia. It is rather a psychological effect because the changeover to the euro in physical form is only the exchange of coins and banknotes by the fixed exchange rate and therefore real value of money is not decreasing. This implies that is a very important to resolve the problem, how to set the economic policy of the state, which passes through the transition, to make the perceived inflation to suppressed as far as possible.
The relationship of inflation and perceived inflation and their characteristics, I would like to outline in the theoretical part, because it could bring a solution to this problem. For measuring these instruments are used mainly two methodologies and that are macroeconomic, in particular by the HICP, but also psychological, in terms of behavioral economics. In the empirical part, I would focus mainly on case study of the Slovak Republic and I would like to find the way of suppressing the problem of perceived inflation in the transition to the single European currency from the above mentioned aspects. The analysis of this case could help to outline a solution for the Czech Republic, because its economic and cultural background is not very different from Slovakia especially due to common history. |