Europe in transformation: possible scenarios from neorealist and constructivist perspectives

• Název v anglickém jazyce: Europe in transformation: possible scenarios from neorealist and constructivist perspectives
• Klíčová slova anglicky: scenario building, neorealism, constructivism
• Akademický rok vypsání: 2014/2015
• Typ práce: bakalářská práce
• Jazyk práce: angličtina
• Ústav: Katedra politologie (23-KP)
• Vedoucí / školitel: RNDr. Jan Kofroň, Ph.D.

Zásady pro vypracování

: To achieve the aims of this thesis a research method called scenario building will be used to link the theories with empirical observation. I will apply the key hypothesis of the theories in order to unfold the possible future.

Seznam odborné literatury

BAYLIS, John/ Smith, Steve (2011): The Globalization of World Politics: An Introduction to International Relations, 5th edition, Oxford.
JUNIO T. J., MAHNKEN T. G. (2013): Conceiving of Future War: The Promise of Scenario Analysis for International Relations. International Studies Review, 15, č. 3, s. 374-395.
MEARSHEIMER, J. (2001): Tragedy of Great Power Politics. Norton & company, New York, 555 s.
MORAVCSIK, A. PARSONS, C., ROSATO, S. (2013): Europe United, by Sebastian Rosato: A Symposium. Security Studies, 22, č. 4, 773-820.
ROSATO, S. (2011): Europe United. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, 280 s.
WENDT, A. (1999): Social Theory of International Politics. CUP, Cambridge, 447 s.

Předběžná náplň práce

The aims of this thesis are the following: (i) to explore the applicability of two theories of international relations in building future scenarios: neorealism and constructivism; (ii) to draft probable upcoming scenarios of the European Union's (EU) action as a response to a rise of a possible threat.
My thesis is structured in five chapters. I begin the thesis with an introduction of the theoretical frameworks I have chosen, including their respective criticism. I then proceed by identifying the key elements of scenarios and in the following chapter draft the actual scenarios. In the fourth section I compare the scenarios in order to find similarities and differences in theories and deduce possible implications they might have. Finally, I conclude with a summary of the findings an evaluation of the method.

Research question: How could future Europe look like according to the constructivist and the neorealist theory
Hypothesis:
If potential hegemon is not present and NATO would be still in Europe, no change in balance of power will occur.
If solidarity exists between the member states of EU, they would consider each other as part of the Self and would provide help in case of external threat.